Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.793138 0.933794 1.085939 1.262005 1.459382 1.673071 1.921139
2025-03-23 0.581888 0.779953 1.015128 1.311205 1.670048 2.086896 2.603490
2025-03-30 0.439274 0.665336 0.957646 1.353705 1.865994 2.495663 3.316496
2025-04-06 0.319944 0.547653 0.867539 1.331609 1.967845 2.789016 3.906016
2025-04-13 0.248612 0.476727 0.822070 1.353622 2.118772 3.146379 4.592255
2025-04-20 0.193147 0.414561 0.774863 1.360842 2.242290 3.468297 5.244473
2025-04-27 0.151892 0.364357 0.734903 1.369107 2.361711 3.785673 5.901580
2025-05-04 0.117965 0.317448 0.690448 1.361335 2.451583 4.061192 6.509049
2025-05-11 0.088911 0.270908 0.636993 1.329421 2.497301 4.270246 7.026948
2025-05-18 0.070816 0.242123 0.610105 1.337328 2.603344 4.570622 7.686030
2025-05-25 0.053060 0.207419 0.564457 1.304645 2.637511 4.760024 8.185754
2025-06-01 0.042733 0.188101 0.546366 1.319272 2.749901 5.073319 8.880308
2025-06-08 0.032518 0.165033 0.516546 1.309662 2.822972 5.333801 9.515257
2025-06-15 0.027912 0.158036 0.522621 1.372374 3.029153 5.819624 10.519637
2025-06-22 0.023390 0.149141 0.522380 1.421878 3.214488 6.279597 11.500681
2025-06-29 0.017191 0.129719 0.491034 1.401316 3.267991 6.522360 12.146214
2025-07-06 0.013662 0.119214 0.480912 1.425282 3.406066 6.912145 13.038875
2025-07-13 0.010462 0.107592 0.464781 1.433269 3.512907 7.251877 13.860395
2025-07-20 0.007965 0.097315 0.449976 1.442080 3.621009 7.597014 14.700343
2025-07-27 0.005774 0.086191 0.429420 1.434082 3.693911 7.882113 15.448584
2025-08-03 0.003851 0.073720 0.400460 1.400893 3.711859 8.068741 16.036589
2025-08-10 0.002811 0.066707 0.388451 1.409144 3.815971 8.413447 16.899703
2025-08-17 0.001768 0.056763 0.361972 1.375115 3.826808 8.586993 17.474946